Weekday tendencies

Directional and range tendencies of the RTH session — combine with the weekday filter to compare days of the week.

Weekday tendencies

Weekday: Friday

Noise

The day closed as a trend day on

4.7%of 795 matching days · 95% CI 3.4%–6.3%

Base rate

4.8%

n 4,013

Lift

−0.2 pp

vs base rate

Matching days

795

sample size

Every outcome of this report

RTH closed above its open54.0% n 795The day's range reached at least its 14-day ATR31.3% n 793The day closed as a trend day4.7% n 795

By weekday

Monday4.0% n 756Tuesday3.7% n 828Wednesday5.5% n 824Thursday6.2% n 810Friday4.7% n 795

Select a weekday to condition the whole report on it; select it again to clear.

Evidence

Sample split

In sample 2010–20224.4% n 620
Out of sample 2023–present5.7% n 175

By regime

Regime era · Pre-20204.4% n 474
Regime era · Covid 20204.3% n 47
Regime era · Post-20205.1% n 274
Trend / chop · Trend3.5% n 284
Trend / chop · Chop5.3% n 507

Rolling 12-month rate

Rolling 12-month values
MonthRateDays
2010-06—3
2010-07—8
2010-08—12
2010-09—16
2010-10—21
2010-11—24
2010-12—28
2011-013.1%32
2011-022.8%36
2011-032.5%40
2011-042.3%44
2011-052.1%48
2011-062.0%49
2011-072.0%49
2011-082.0%49
2011-092.0%50
2011-102.0%49
2011-112.0%49
2011-122.0%50
2012-010.0%50
2012-020.0%50
2012-030.0%50
2012-040.0%50
2012-050.0%50
2012-060.0%50
2012-070.0%50
2012-080.0%51
2012-090.0%50
2012-102.0%50
2012-112.0%51
2012-122.0%50
2013-012.0%50
2013-022.0%50
2013-032.0%49
2013-042.0%50
2013-052.0%51
2013-062.0%50
2013-072.0%50
2013-082.0%50
2013-092.0%50
2013-100.0%50
2013-110.0%50
2013-120.0%50
2014-012.0%51
2014-022.0%51
2014-033.9%51
2014-046.0%50
2014-056.0%50
2014-066.1%49
2014-076.3%48
2014-086.3%48
2014-096.3%48
2014-108.2%49
2014-118.3%48
2014-128.3%48
2015-016.3%48
2015-026.3%48
2015-034.2%48
2015-042.1%48
2015-052.1%48
2015-062.0%49
2015-072.0%50
2015-084.1%49
2015-094.1%49
2015-104.1%49
2015-114.1%49
2015-126.3%48
2016-016.4%47
2016-026.4%47
2016-036.5%46
2016-046.4%47
2016-056.4%47
2016-068.5%47
2016-078.3%48
2016-086.3%48
2016-098.2%49
2016-106.3%48
2016-116.3%48
2016-124.0%50
2017-014.0%50
2017-024.0%50
2017-033.8%52
2017-044.0%50
2017-054.0%50
2017-062.0%51
2017-072.0%50
2017-082.0%50
2017-090.0%50
2017-102.0%50
2017-112.0%50
2017-122.0%50
2018-012.0%50
2018-026.0%50
2018-038.2%49
2018-048.0%50
2018-058.0%50
2018-068.0%50
2018-078.0%50
2018-087.8%51
2018-098.0%50
2018-106.0%50
2018-115.9%51
2018-1210.0%50
2019-0110.0%50
2019-026.0%50
2019-035.9%51
2019-046.0%50
2019-057.8%51
2019-068.0%50
2019-0710.0%50
2019-0812.0%50
2019-0912.0%50
2019-1012.0%50
2019-1112.0%50
2019-128.0%50
2020-019.8%51
2020-0210.2%49
2020-0310.2%49
2020-0410.2%49
2020-058.2%49
2020-068.2%49
2020-076.1%49
2020-084.2%48
2020-094.2%48
2020-104.2%48
2020-114.2%48
2020-124.3%47
2021-012.2%46
2021-022.1%47
2021-032.1%47
2021-042.1%48
2021-052.1%47
2021-062.1%47
2021-072.1%48
2021-082.1%48
2021-094.2%48
2021-104.2%48
2021-114.2%48
2021-124.1%49
2022-014.1%49
2022-024.1%49
2022-032.0%49
2022-044.1%49
2022-054.1%49
2022-064.1%49
2022-074.1%49
2022-086.1%49
2022-094.0%50
2022-104.1%49
2022-114.1%49
2022-124.0%50
2023-016.0%50
2023-026.0%50
2023-035.9%51
2023-044.0%50
2023-056.0%50
2023-065.9%51
2023-076.0%50
2023-084.0%50
2023-094.0%50
2023-106.0%50
2023-116.0%50
2023-126.0%50
2024-014.0%50
2024-024.0%50
2024-036.1%49
2024-046.0%50
2024-055.9%51
2024-068.0%50
2024-078.0%50
2024-088.0%50
2024-098.0%50
2024-106.0%50
2024-116.0%50
2024-126.0%50
2025-015.9%51
2025-027.8%51
2025-035.9%51
2025-046.0%50
2025-054.0%50
2025-062.0%50
2025-072.0%49
2025-084.1%49
2025-094.1%49
2025-106.0%50
2025-116.1%49
2025-126.1%49
2026-016.1%49
2026-024.1%49
2026-034.1%49
2026-044.1%49
2026-054.1%49
2026-066.3%48

filters applied 1 · p 0.851 · adjusted p 0.851

The 5% rate on 795 matching days was not distinguishable from the 5% base rate after adjustment (adjusted p = 0.85 across 5 filter combinations).

Full sessions 2010–present · ETL v1.2.0 · rates under 30 matching days are withheld