Weekday tendencies

Directional and range tendencies of the RTH session — combine with the weekday filter to compare days of the week.

Weekday tendencies

Weekday: Monday

Noise

The day closed as a trend day on

4.0%of 756 matching days · 95% CI 2.8%–5.6%

Base rate

4.8%

n 4,013

Lift

−0.8 pp

vs base rate

Matching days

756

sample size

Every outcome of this report

RTH closed above its open58.1% n 756The day's range reached at least its 14-day ATR27.8% n 753The day closed as a trend day4.0% n 756

By weekday

Monday4.0% n 756Tuesday3.7% n 828Wednesday5.5% n 824Thursday6.2% n 810Friday4.7% n 795

Select a weekday to condition the whole report on it; select it again to clear.

Evidence

Sample split

In sample 2010–20224.4% n 590
Out of sample 2023–present2.4% n 166

By regime

Regime era · Pre-20204.0% n 450
Regime era · Covid 202010.4% n 48
Regime era · Post-20202.7% n 258
Trend / chop · Trend2.7% n 260
Trend / chop · Chop4.7% n 492

Rolling 12-month rate

Rolling 12-month values
MonthRateDays
2010-06—4
2010-07—7
2010-08—12
2010-09—15
2010-10—19
2010-11—24
2010-12—28
2011-010.0%32
2011-020.0%35
2011-030.0%39
2011-040.0%43
2011-050.0%47
2011-060.0%47
2011-070.0%47
2011-082.1%47
2011-092.1%47
2011-102.1%48
2011-112.1%47
2011-122.2%46
2012-012.2%45
2012-022.2%45
2012-032.2%45
2012-044.3%46
2012-056.7%45
2012-068.9%45
2012-078.7%46
2012-086.5%46
2012-096.5%46
2012-106.7%45
2012-116.7%45
2012-128.7%46
2013-018.7%46
2013-0210.9%46
2013-0310.9%46
2013-0410.9%46
2013-058.7%46
2013-066.5%46
2013-076.5%46
2013-086.5%46
2013-096.4%47
2013-106.4%47
2013-116.4%47
2013-124.2%48
2014-016.3%48
2014-026.3%48
2014-036.1%49
2014-044.2%48
2014-054.2%48
2014-064.1%49
2014-074.2%48
2014-084.2%48
2014-094.2%48
2014-104.2%48
2014-114.2%48
2014-126.3%48
2015-014.2%48
2015-022.1%48
2015-032.1%48
2015-044.2%48
2015-054.2%48
2015-066.3%48
2015-076.3%48
2015-086.1%49
2015-096.3%48
2015-106.3%48
2015-116.1%49
2015-124.2%48
2016-014.2%48
2016-024.1%49
2016-034.2%48
2016-042.1%48
2016-052.1%48
2016-060.0%48
2016-070.0%47
2016-080.0%47
2016-092.1%47
2016-102.1%48
2016-112.1%47
2016-122.2%46
2017-012.2%45
2017-022.2%45
2017-034.4%45
2017-044.4%45
2017-054.4%45
2017-064.4%45
2017-074.3%46
2017-084.4%45
2017-092.2%45
2017-102.2%45
2017-112.2%45
2017-124.4%45
2018-014.4%45
2018-026.7%45
2018-036.7%45
2018-046.5%46
2018-056.7%45
2018-066.7%45
2018-076.5%46
2018-086.5%46
2018-096.5%46
2018-106.5%46
2018-116.5%46
2018-124.3%47
2019-014.3%47
2019-022.1%47
2019-030.0%47
2019-040.0%47
2019-052.1%47
2019-062.1%47
2019-072.1%47
2019-082.1%47
2019-092.1%48
2019-102.1%47
2019-112.1%47
2019-122.1%48
2020-014.2%48
2020-024.2%48
2020-038.3%48
2020-048.3%48
2020-056.3%48
2020-066.3%48
2020-0710.4%48
2020-0810.2%49
2020-0910.4%48
2020-1010.4%48
2020-1110.2%49
2020-1210.4%48
2021-018.3%48
2021-028.3%48
2021-034.2%48
2021-044.2%48
2021-054.1%49
2021-064.2%48
2021-070.0%47
2021-080.0%47
2021-090.0%47
2021-100.0%47
2021-112.1%47
2021-122.1%47
2022-016.3%48
2022-026.3%48
2022-036.4%47
2022-046.4%47
2022-056.4%47
2022-066.5%46
2022-076.5%46
2022-086.5%46
2022-096.5%46
2022-106.4%47
2022-114.3%46
2022-124.4%45
2023-010.0%44
2023-020.0%44
2023-030.0%44
2023-040.0%44
2023-050.0%44
2023-060.0%44
2023-070.0%45
2023-080.0%44
2023-090.0%44
2023-100.0%44
2023-110.0%44
2023-120.0%44
2024-012.3%44
2024-022.3%44
2024-032.3%44
2024-044.5%44
2024-054.5%44
2024-064.4%45
2024-074.3%46
2024-084.3%46
2024-094.3%47
2024-104.3%46
2024-114.3%46
2024-124.2%48
2025-012.1%48
2025-022.1%48
2025-034.1%49
2025-042.1%48
2025-052.1%48
2025-062.0%49
2025-072.1%48
2025-082.1%48
2025-092.1%48
2025-102.1%48
2025-112.1%48
2025-122.1%48
2026-012.1%48
2026-022.1%48
2026-032.1%48
2026-042.1%48
2026-052.1%48
2026-062.1%48

filters applied 1 · p 0.315 · adjusted p 0.525

The 4% rate on 756 matching days was not distinguishable from the 5% base rate after adjustment (adjusted p = 0.52 across 5 filter combinations).

Full sessions 2010–present · ETL v1.2.0 · rates under 30 matching days are withheld