Weekday tendencies

Directional and range tendencies of the RTH session — combine with the weekday filter to compare days of the week.

Weekday tendencies

Weekday: Thursday

Noise

The day closed as a trend day on

6.2%of 810 matching days · 95% CI 4.7%–8.0%

Base rate

4.8%

n 4,013

Lift

+1.4 pp

vs base rate

Matching days

810

sample size

Every outcome of this report

RTH closed above its open53.1% n 810The day's range reached at least its 14-day ATR36.1% n 808The day closed as a trend day6.2% n 810

By weekday

Monday4.0% n 756Tuesday3.7% n 828Wednesday5.5% n 824Thursday6.2% n 810Friday4.7% n 795

Select a weekday to condition the whole report on it; select it again to clear.

Evidence

Sample split

In sample 2010–20225.7% n 634
Out of sample 2023–present8.0% n 176

By regime

Regime era · Pre-20204.8% n 481
Regime era · Covid 202011.8% n 51
Regime era · Post-20207.6% n 278
Trend / chop · Trend2.5% n 279
Trend / chop · Chop8.2% n 527

Rolling 12-month rate

Rolling 12-month values
MonthRateDays
2010-06—3
2010-07—8
2010-08—12
2010-09—17
2010-10—21
2010-11—24
2010-12—29
2011-010.0%33
2011-020.0%37
2011-030.0%42
2011-040.0%46
2011-050.0%50
2011-061.9%52
2011-073.9%51
2011-085.9%51
2011-095.9%51
2011-105.9%51
2011-115.9%51
2011-125.9%51
2012-015.9%51
2012-025.9%51
2012-035.9%51
2012-047.8%51
2012-057.7%52
2012-067.8%51
2012-075.9%51
2012-083.9%51
2012-093.9%51
2012-103.9%51
2012-113.9%51
2012-123.9%51
2013-013.8%52
2013-023.8%52
2013-033.9%51
2013-043.9%51
2013-053.9%51
2013-062.0%51
2013-072.0%50
2013-082.0%50
2013-092.0%50
2013-102.0%51
2013-114.0%50
2013-124.0%50
2014-014.0%50
2014-024.0%50
2014-036.0%50
2014-046.0%50
2014-056.0%50
2014-066.1%49
2014-0710.0%50
2014-0810.2%49
2014-0910.4%48
2014-1010.4%48
2014-118.3%48
2014-128.5%47
2015-0110.9%46
2015-0210.9%46
2015-038.7%46
2015-046.4%47
2015-056.5%46
2015-066.4%47
2015-072.1%48
2015-084.2%48
2015-094.1%49
2015-104.1%49
2015-114.1%49
2015-124.0%50
2016-012.0%50
2016-022.0%50
2016-032.0%51
2016-044.0%50
2016-054.0%50
2016-065.9%51
2016-076.0%50
2016-084.0%50
2016-096.0%50
2016-106.0%50
2016-116.0%50
2016-127.8%51
2017-017.8%51
2017-027.8%51
2017-037.8%51
2017-045.9%51
2017-055.9%51
2017-063.9%51
2017-073.9%51
2017-087.7%52
2017-095.9%51
2017-105.9%51
2017-115.8%52
2017-123.9%51
2018-013.9%51
2018-025.9%51
2018-035.9%51
2018-045.9%51
2018-055.8%52
2018-065.9%51
2018-075.9%51
2018-083.9%51
2018-093.9%51
2018-103.9%51
2018-113.9%51
2018-123.9%51
2019-013.8%52
2019-021.9%52
2019-033.9%51
2019-043.9%51
2019-053.9%51
2019-063.9%51
2019-074.0%50
2019-084.0%50
2019-094.0%50
2019-103.9%51
2019-114.0%50
2019-124.0%50
2020-014.0%50
2020-026.0%50
2020-036.0%50
2020-045.9%51
2020-056.0%50
2020-068.0%50
2020-077.8%51
2020-087.8%51
2020-0911.8%51
2020-1011.8%51
2020-1111.8%51
2020-1211.8%51
2021-0112.0%50
2021-0212.0%50
2021-0310.0%50
2021-0410.0%50
2021-0510.0%50
2021-068.0%50
2021-076.0%50
2021-086.0%50
2021-092.0%51
2021-102.0%50
2021-112.0%50
2021-123.9%51
2022-017.8%51
2022-027.8%51
2022-037.7%52
2022-049.8%51
2022-059.8%51
2022-069.6%52
2022-079.8%51
2022-089.8%51
2022-099.8%51
2022-1011.8%51
2022-1111.8%51
2022-129.8%51
2023-015.9%51
2023-023.9%51
2023-037.8%51
2023-045.9%51
2023-055.9%51
2023-067.8%51
2023-0711.8%51
2023-0813.5%52
2023-0913.7%51
2023-1011.8%51
2023-1111.5%52
2023-1211.8%51
2024-0111.8%51
2024-0211.5%52
2024-037.8%51
2024-049.8%51
2024-059.8%51
2024-067.8%51
2024-076.0%50
2024-086.0%50
2024-096.0%50
2024-105.9%51
2024-116.0%50
2024-126.0%50
2025-016.1%49
2025-028.2%49
2025-038.2%49
2025-046.1%49
2025-056.1%49
2025-066.3%48
2025-076.1%49
2025-084.2%48
2025-094.2%48
2025-104.2%48
2025-116.3%48
2025-126.4%47
2026-016.4%47
2026-026.4%47
2026-036.4%47
2026-046.3%48
2026-056.4%47
2026-068.3%48

filters applied 1 · p 0.106 · adjusted p 0.460

The 6% rate on 810 matching days was not distinguishable from the 5% base rate after adjustment (adjusted p = 0.46 across 5 filter combinations).

Full sessions 2010–present · ETL v1.2.0 · rates under 30 matching days are withheld