Weekday tendencies

Directional and range tendencies of the RTH session — combine with the weekday filter to compare days of the week.

Weekday tendencies

Weekday: Tuesday

Noise

The day closed as a trend day on

3.7%of 828 matching days · 95% CI 2.6%–5.3%

Base rate

4.8%

n 4,013

Lift

−1.1 pp

vs base rate

Matching days

828

sample size

Every outcome of this report

RTH closed above its open54.5% n 828The day's range reached at least its 14-day ATR29.9% n 825The day closed as a trend day3.7% n 828

By weekday

Monday4.0% n 756Tuesday3.7% n 828Wednesday5.5% n 824Thursday6.2% n 810Friday4.7% n 795

Select a weekday to condition the whole report on it; select it again to clear.

Evidence

Sample split

In sample 2010–20224.5% n 644
Out of sample 2023–present1.1% n 184

By regime

Regime era · Pre-20205.3% n 489
Regime era · Covid 20203.9% n 51
Regime era · Post-20201.0% n 288
Trend / chop · Trend2.4% n 288
Trend / chop · Chop4.5% n 536

Rolling 12-month rate

Rolling 12-month values
MonthRateDays
2010-06—4
2010-07—8
2010-08—13
2010-09—17
2010-10—21
2010-11—26
2010-120.0%30
2011-010.0%34
2011-022.6%38
2011-034.7%43
2011-044.3%47
2011-053.8%52
2011-065.8%52
2011-075.8%52
2011-087.7%52
2011-097.7%52
2011-107.7%52
2011-117.7%52
2011-127.7%52
2012-017.5%53
2012-023.8%52
2012-033.8%52
2012-047.7%52
2012-057.7%52
2012-065.8%52
2012-075.8%52
2012-083.9%51
2012-095.9%51
2012-106.0%50
2012-116.0%50
2012-126.1%49
2013-016.3%48
2013-026.3%48
2013-036.3%48
2013-042.0%49
2013-052.1%48
2013-062.1%48
2013-072.0%49
2013-082.0%49
2013-090.0%49
2013-102.0%50
2013-112.0%50
2013-122.0%51
2014-013.9%51
2014-023.9%51
2014-033.9%51
2014-043.9%51
2014-053.9%51
2014-063.9%51
2014-073.9%51
2014-083.9%51
2014-097.8%51
2014-106.0%50
2014-116.0%50
2014-129.8%51
2015-017.8%51
2015-027.8%51
2015-037.7%52
2015-047.8%51
2015-057.8%51
2015-067.7%52
2015-079.8%51
2015-0811.8%51
2015-097.7%52
2015-107.7%52
2015-117.7%52
2015-123.8%52
2016-013.8%52
2016-023.8%52
2016-035.8%52
2016-045.8%52
2016-055.7%53
2016-065.8%52
2016-073.8%52
2016-081.9%52
2016-091.9%52
2016-101.9%52
2016-111.9%52
2016-121.9%52
2017-011.9%53
2017-021.9%53
2017-031.9%52
2017-041.9%52
2017-051.9%52
2017-061.9%52
2017-072.0%51
2017-082.0%51
2017-092.0%51
2017-101.9%52
2017-112.0%51
2017-122.0%51
2018-015.9%51
2018-027.8%51
2018-037.8%51
2018-049.8%51
2018-059.8%51
2018-069.8%51
2018-0711.5%52
2018-0811.8%51
2018-0911.8%51
2018-1013.7%51
2018-1113.7%51
2018-1216.0%50
2019-0112.2%49
2019-0210.2%49
2019-038.2%49
2019-046.0%50
2019-056.1%49
2019-066.1%49
2019-074.0%50
2019-084.0%50
2019-096.0%50
2019-104.0%50
2019-114.0%50
2019-122.0%51
2020-012.0%51
2020-023.9%51
2020-035.8%52
2020-045.9%51
2020-055.9%51
2020-065.9%51
2020-076.0%50
2020-086.0%50
2020-094.0%50
2020-104.0%50
2020-114.0%50
2020-123.9%51
2021-013.9%51
2021-023.9%51
2021-032.0%51
2021-042.0%51
2021-052.0%51
2021-061.9%52
2021-071.9%52
2021-081.9%53
2021-091.9%52
2021-101.9%52
2021-111.9%53
2021-121.9%52
2022-011.9%52
2022-020.0%52
2022-030.0%52
2022-040.0%52
2022-050.0%53
2022-060.0%52
2022-070.0%52
2022-080.0%52
2022-090.0%52
2022-100.0%52
2022-110.0%52
2022-120.0%52
2023-010.0%53
2023-020.0%53
2023-030.0%52
2023-040.0%52
2023-050.0%52
2023-060.0%52
2023-070.0%51
2023-080.0%51
2023-090.0%51
2023-100.0%52
2023-110.0%51
2023-120.0%51
2024-010.0%51
2024-020.0%51
2024-030.0%51
2024-040.0%52
2024-050.0%51
2024-060.0%51
2024-070.0%52
2024-080.0%52
2024-091.9%52
2024-101.9%52
2024-111.9%52
2024-121.9%52
2025-012.0%51
2025-022.0%51
2025-032.0%51
2025-043.9%51
2025-053.9%51
2025-063.9%51
2025-073.9%51
2025-083.9%51
2025-091.9%52
2025-102.0%51
2025-112.0%51
2025-121.9%52
2026-011.9%52
2026-021.9%52
2026-031.9%53
2026-040.0%52
2026-050.0%52
2026-060.0%53

filters applied 1 · p 0.184 · adjusted p 0.460

The 4% rate on 828 matching days was not distinguishable from the 5% base rate after adjustment (adjusted p = 0.46 across 5 filter combinations).

Full sessions 2010–present · ETL v1.2.0 · rates under 30 matching days are withheld