Weekday tendencies

Directional and range tendencies of the RTH session — combine with the weekday filter to compare days of the week.

Weekday tendencies

Weekday: Wednesday

Noise

The day closed as a trend day on

5.5%of 824 matching days · 95% CI 4.1%–7.2%

Base rate

4.8%

n 4,013

Lift

+0.7 pp

vs base rate

Matching days

824

sample size

Every outcome of this report

RTH closed above its open51.7% n 824The day's range reached at least its 14-day ATR35.9% n 821The day closed as a trend day5.5% n 824

By weekday

Monday4.0% n 756Tuesday3.7% n 828Wednesday5.5% n 824Thursday6.2% n 810Friday4.7% n 795

Select a weekday to condition the whole report on it; select it again to clear.

Evidence

Sample split

In sample 2010–20226.1% n 644
Out of sample 2023–present3.3% n 180

By regime

Regime era · Pre-20206.1% n 488
Regime era · Covid 20201.9% n 52
Regime era · Post-20204.9% n 284
Trend / chop · Trend5.6% n 286
Trend / chop · Chop5.4% n 534

Rolling 12-month rate

Rolling 12-month values
MonthRateDays
2010-06—4
2010-07—8
2010-08—12
2010-09—17
2010-10—21
2010-11—25
2010-120.0%30
2011-010.0%34
2011-020.0%38
2011-030.0%43
2011-040.0%47
2011-050.0%51
2011-061.9%52
2011-073.8%52
2011-083.8%53
2011-093.8%52
2011-103.8%52
2011-113.8%53
2011-123.8%52
2012-013.8%52
2012-025.7%53
2012-035.8%52
2012-045.8%52
2012-053.8%52
2012-063.8%52
2012-072.0%51
2012-082.0%51
2012-092.0%51
2012-101.9%52
2012-112.0%51
2012-122.0%51
2013-012.0%51
2013-022.0%51
2013-032.0%51
2013-043.9%51
2013-053.9%51
2013-065.9%51
2013-075.8%52
2013-085.9%51
2013-095.9%51
2013-105.9%51
2013-117.8%51
2013-1212.0%50
2014-0112.2%49
2014-0210.2%49
2014-0310.2%49
2014-048.0%50
2014-058.2%49
2014-066.1%49
2014-076.0%50
2014-086.0%50
2014-098.2%49
2014-1014.3%49
2014-1112.2%49
2014-1212.2%49
2015-0112.2%49
2015-0212.2%49
2015-0314.3%49
2015-0414.3%49
2015-0514.3%49
2015-0614.3%49
2015-0714.3%49
2015-0818.4%49
2015-0915.7%51
2015-1010.0%50
2015-1110.0%50
2015-125.8%52
2016-017.7%52
2016-027.7%52
2016-035.8%52
2016-045.8%52
2016-055.8%52
2016-065.8%52
2016-075.8%52
2016-081.9%53
2016-091.9%52
2016-101.9%52
2016-113.8%53
2016-125.8%52
2017-013.8%52
2017-023.8%52
2017-033.8%52
2017-045.8%52
2017-057.5%53
2017-067.7%52
2017-077.7%52
2017-087.7%52
2017-097.7%52
2017-107.7%52
2017-115.8%52
2017-123.8%52
2018-013.8%53
2018-023.8%53
2018-033.8%52
2018-043.8%52
2018-051.9%52
2018-063.8%52
2018-073.9%51
2018-083.9%51
2018-093.9%51
2018-107.7%52
2018-117.8%51
2018-1212.0%50
2019-0112.0%50
2019-0212.0%50
2019-0312.0%50
2019-0410.0%50
2019-0510.0%50
2019-068.0%50
2019-077.8%51
2019-088.0%50
2019-0910.0%50
2019-106.0%50
2019-116.0%50
2019-122.0%50
2020-012.0%49
2020-022.0%49
2020-032.0%49
2020-042.0%49
2020-052.0%49
2020-062.0%49
2020-072.0%50
2020-082.0%50
2020-090.0%51
2020-100.0%50
2020-110.0%50
2020-121.9%52
2021-011.9%52
2021-023.8%52
2021-033.8%53
2021-043.8%52
2021-053.8%52
2021-063.8%53
2021-073.8%52
2021-083.8%52
2021-093.8%52
2021-103.8%52
2021-113.8%52
2021-125.8%52
2022-017.7%52
2022-025.8%52
2022-035.8%52
2022-045.8%52
2022-057.7%52
2022-067.7%52
2022-077.7%52
2022-087.5%53
2022-099.6%52
2022-109.6%52
2022-1113.2%53
2022-129.6%52
2023-017.7%52
2023-027.7%52
2023-037.7%52
2023-047.7%52
2023-055.7%53
2023-067.7%52
2023-077.7%52
2023-087.7%52
2023-095.8%52
2023-105.8%52
2023-111.9%52
2023-123.8%52
2024-013.8%53
2024-023.8%52
2024-033.8%52
2024-043.8%52
2024-053.8%52
2024-062.0%51
2024-073.9%51
2024-084.0%50
2024-096.0%50
2024-106.0%50
2024-116.0%50
2024-126.1%49
2025-016.3%48
2025-026.3%48
2025-036.3%48
2025-048.2%49
2025-058.3%48
2025-068.2%49
2025-076.0%50
2025-086.0%50
2025-094.0%50
2025-104.0%50
2025-114.0%50
2025-122.0%51
2026-012.0%51
2026-022.0%51
2026-032.0%51
2026-040.0%51
2026-050.0%51
2026-060.0%51

filters applied 1 · p 0.431 · adjusted p 0.538

The 5% rate on 824 matching days was not distinguishable from the 5% base rate after adjustment (adjusted p = 0.54 across 5 filter combinations).

Full sessions 2010–present · ETL v1.2.0 · rates under 30 matching days are withheld